On 12/01/2015, in the 20th round of the Spain Segunda, Sporting Gijon visited Sabadell. At the end of first half, the score was 1-2. With my football picks, I can assure that there would be more goals before the game ends.
The score stands still 1-2 at the 60th minute of the match. And I placed $500 on Over 3.75. The odd was 0.71. In these football picks, I only needed 1 goal to get a small profit. If there is another goal, the profit will double.
The history of Spain Segunda has showed that a match will have about 2.46 goals. It is a little lower than my threshold. I was considering more factors before my final decision.
This 20th round was safe to bet because it was neither the beginning nor the end of the league.
The strong signal was from the 2 previous matches where 1st half ended with 1-2. And those match did not have any goal in 2nd half. It is very rare to see TWO consecutive games like that.
The final score was 2-2 with goals at 7th, 21st, 40th and 81st minute. The last goal brought me $177.5 of profit which is very encouraging. I should have been more careful with this league due to its low average goals per match. Still, I am happy with the winning.