On 18/08/2014, in the 4th round of the Hungary NBI, Diosgyor hosted Kecskemeti. It was the last match of the round. All 7 previous matches were Under 2.5. I placed a bet on Over 2.5 for this match and the betting strategy succeeded this time.
For this betting strategy, I always had to wait until the last game of the round. This is when I can make the decision. I placed $500 on Over 2.5 and the odd was 0.71.
The history of Hungary NB1 has showed that there is at least one Over 2.5 game per round. All 7 previous games were Under 2.5.
This 4th round was safe to bet because it was neither the beginning nor the end of the league.
There was a concern about the average goals per match because this league only has 2.44 goals. I should have not gambled on this league. See more of my betting strategies.
The final score was 2-1 with three goals at 16th, 57th and 90th minute. My profit was $355 which is very good for me. However, I was very lucky because I only won at 90th minute. It could have been a loss.