On 01/02/2015, in the 23rd round of the France Ligue 1, Monaco hosted Lyon. It was the last match of the round. According to my football predictions, I placed a bet on Over 2.
Before the last match of the round, I found that all 9 previous matches were Under 2.5. I placed $500 on Over 2 and the odd was 0.81. The bet was placed before game start.
The history of France Ligue 1 has showed that there is at least 1 game Over 2 per round.
This 23rd round was safe to bet because it was neither the beginning nor the end of the league.
There was a little concern about the average goals because this league has 2.49 goals per match which is lower than expectation.
The final score was 0-0. I lost all of the stake. In fact, France Ligue 1 has a very low average goal, so betting Over is not always smart. Looking back to the failure, I should have considered three matches with 2 goals as Over.